NCIER®

Leadership Turnover

30 claims on pp. 101–139 (fact 24, evidence 2, conjecture 2, definition 2).

Claims about Leadership Turnover

Definition [V] p101-21

Leadership-change question is a proxy measure of program resilience to staffing changes

As a proxy measure to capture the resilience of a school’s BTAM program to changes in staffing, we asked principals whether they perceived that a leadership change (for instance, were they to vacate their position) would result in changes to their school’s use of or approach to BTAM.

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Evidence [V] p101-22

Prior studies: dynamic, supportive school leader often important for BTAM effectiveness (Jackson et

The question was informed by other studies on program sustainability and on BTAM program implementation specifically that drew on the expertise of school safety staff across the country who indicated that a dynamic and supportive school leader was often important for school BTAM program effectiveness (see, e.g., Jackson et al., 2025).

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Conjecture [V] p101-24

Highest-poverty school principals least likely to believe program withstands leadership change

Specifically, principals in the highest poverty schools were least likely to believe their BTAM program would withstand a leadership change, suggesting that BTAM sustainability in those schools may be more vulnerable.

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Evidence [V] p101-25

High-poverty schools have historically had higher staff turnover than lower-poverty schools

This is notable because high-poverty schools have historically had higher levels of staff turnover, compared with lower-poverty schools (Education Resource Strategies [ERS], 2025; Carver-Thomas and Darling-Hammond, 2019).

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Conjecture [V] p101-26

Additional support may be needed for institutional memory and leadership pipelines in high-poverty s

Findings therefore suggest additional support may be needed to build institutional memory and leadership pipelines in high-poverty schools, where BTAM program stability may be more fragile.

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Definition [V] p102-15

Figure 13.2 survey item: Would a leadership change result in changes to BTAM use or approach? (n = 1

This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “Would a leadership change at your school (e.g., were you to vacate your position) result in changes to your school's use of or approach to BTAM?” (n = 1,376).

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