NCIER®

Adoption Timeline

53 claims on pp. 6–123 (fact 38, statement 3, evidence 7, conclusion 1, conjecture 4).

Claims about Adoption Timeline

Fact [V] p020-07

Federal data: as many as 85 percent of schools had a BTAM team in place as of 2024

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

BTAM has emerged as a widely adopted approach to address these challenges in K–12 schools across the United States, with federal data showing that as many as 85 percent of schools nationwide had a BTAM team in place as of 2024

p. 20 · NCIER Claim Map
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Evidence [V] p021-13

2015–2016: 42 percent of a national sample of K–12 public school principals had threat assessment te

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

By the 2015–2016 school year (the earliest national estimate available), 42 percent of a national sample of K–12 public school principals reported having threat assessment teams (Diliberti et al., 2017).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
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Evidence [V] p021-14

2021–2022: 65 percent of public schools reported having threat assessment teams (Burr et al., 2024)

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

By the 2021–2022 school year, 65 percent of public schools reported having such teams, in which threat assessment was defined as “a formalized process of identifying, assessing, and managing students who may pose a threat of targeted violence in schools” (Burr et al., 2024, p. 13).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
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Evidence [V] p021-15

More recent federal data: 85 percent of all public schools had a team by 2024 (NCES, 2025)

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

As noted above, more recent federal data show that this rate had increased to 85 percent of all public schools by 2024 (NCES, 2025).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
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Evidence [V] p021-17

Secret Service published updated research and BTAM guidance (NTAC 2018, 2019, 2021)

During this time frame, the Secret Service continued to publish updated research on targeted school violence and guidance for the implementation of BTAM programs in K–12 schools (see, e.g., NTAC, 2018; NTAC, 2019; and NTAC, 2021), and there was increasing research into—and focus on—approaches for preventing violence in K–12 schools more broadly.

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Conclusion [V] p032-08

Timing corresponds with post-COVID behavior spikes and high-profile school shootings

This timing corresponds with at least two notable trends: (1) the return to in-person schooling after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and associated spikes in student behavior problems, such as minor classroom disruptions and student fights (NCES, 2022; Peetz, 2025); and (2) high-profile school shootings throughout the country, which spurred renewed attention to behavioral threat assessment in schools and led directly to changes in state policy (WFTS Webteam, 2018; Higgins, 2025).

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Fact [V] p036-02

93 percent of earliest adopters (9+ years ago) perceive their teams as somewhat or very effective

Sample (column N undeterminable) · Earliest adopters (BTAM team in place 9+ years)

Looking at the earliest adopters (those schools that adopted BTAM teams nine or more years ago), 93 percent perceive that their BTAM teams are at the point where they are somewhat or very effective at maintaining school safety.

p. 36 · NCIER Claim Map
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