NCIER®

Limitations

54 claims on pp. 4–155 (fact 21, statement 13, evidence 4, conclusion 2, conjecture 13, definition 1).

Claims about Limitations

Evidence [V] p006-10

Prior studies were specific to one model, confined to single states, or based on small interview or

Although several studies have sought to understand the impact of threat assessment programs on various school-level outcomes, including violence prevention, to date these reports have been specific to a single threat assessment model; confined to understanding trends in single states; or based on interviews or surveys of a small number of individuals.

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Evidence [V] p022-03

Prior studies are single-model, single-state, or based on small interview and survey samples

Although several studies have sought to understand the impact of threat assessment programs on various school-level outcomes, including violence prevention, these reports are (1) specific to a single threat assessment model, (2) confined to understanding trends in single states, or (3) based on interviews and surveys of small samples of individuals (see, e.g., Ross et al., 2022; Cornell et al., 2018; Crepeau-Hobson and Leech, 2022; Jackson and Viljoen, 2024).

p. 22 · NCIER Claim Map
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Evidence [V] p024-08

New laws requiring BTAM enacted during study (NJ, TN, IA) and earlier (VT)

For example, as our study was underway, some states enacted new laws requiring that schools use BTAM or establish BTAM teams (e.g., New Jersey, Tennessee, Iowa); others have also done so since the 2019 analysis but prior to the start of our study (e.g., Vermont).

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Conjecture [V] p024-17

Second limitation: findings may not fully capture variety across sizes, regions, and demographics

Second, although our survey aimed to be representative of administrators in K–12 public schools across the country, our findings may still not fully capture the variety of experiences across different school sizes, geographical regions, and student and community demographics.

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Statement [I] p024-19

Third limitation: report does not fully explore state policy details or give an up-to-date state ana

Moreover, although the report highlights high-level differences in state-level policies and context specific to BTAM, it does not fully explore the details of such policies

p. 24 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 24 part and the sentence continues on page 25. Full sentence (pages 24–25): “Moreover, although the report highlights high-level differences in state-level policies and context specific to BTAM, it does not fully explore the details of such policies and does not provide an up-to-date analysis of state policies as of this report’s publication date.”

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Conjecture [V] p029-16

Footnote: a state could be coded as requiring threat assessment without a multidisciplinary team

For example, a state might be categorized by these authors as having a law, regulation, or policy requiring threat assessment even if the requirement did not involve that threat assessment being done by a multidisciplinary team (which is core to virtually all framings of behavioral threat assessment).

p. 29 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p040-11

Note: 71 percent of principals extremely familiar with BTAM

Sample (N = 1441) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

The majority of principals (71 percent) said they are extremely familiar with BTAM (e.g., they are a member of the team or lead it or otherwise have detailed knowledge).

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Fact [V] p040-12

Note: another 25 percent of principals at least somewhat familiar with BTAM

Sample (N = 1441) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

Another 25 percent said they were at least somewhat familiar (e.g., “you have referred students and/or have knowledge of the team’s processes”).

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Fact [V] p040-14

Note: authors confirmed principals' familiarity in the survey (Table A.8)

At the onset of this project, we were concerned that principals may not always be familiar enough with their school- or district-level BTAM teams to be able to answer detailed questions about how these teams operate. Therefore, we confirmed principals' familiarity in our survey (see Appendix A, Table A.8).

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Fact [V] p041-04

23 percent of principals did not know whether their school's BTAM program had a defining policy docu

Sample (N = 1401) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

However, 23 percent of principals did not know whether their school’s BTAM program had a defining policy document.

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Fact [V] p041-09

One in five principals unsure whether school or district had established SOPs for BTAM team

Sample (N = 1400) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

One in five principals were not sure whether their school or district had established SOPs for how their BTAM team regularly functions.

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Fact [V] p042-24

Note: administrators, instructional staff, education specialists assumed internal; non-school law en

We also assumed that some positions (e.g., school and district administrators, instructional staff, education specialists) are always internal to the school and that, by definition, non-school-based law enforcement personnel are always external to the school.

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Fact [V] p045-13

Figure 5.2 note: percentages may not sum to 100 percent because of rounding

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

Percentages may not sum to 100 percent because of rounding.

p. 45 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conclusion [V] p066-10

Authors lack data on caseload size or case nature behind frequent exclusionary or arrest use

Although it is concerning that a handful of schools reported engaging in such practices frequently or every time a case is referred to the BTAM team, we do not have information about the size of teams’ caseloads or about the nature of specific cases.

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Statement [V] p075-03

Fictitious incidents are not exhaustive; an illustration of what schools are likely addressing

Note that these fictitious incidents are not meant to be an exhaustive representation of the types of safety-related incidents occurring in schools but rather an illustration of what schools are likely addressing.

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Fact [V] p088-28

Footnote on support-focused share: support-focused share partly reflects more support-focused...

In some ways, this is a function of the data because we presented respondents with more support-focused interventions than interventions in any other category and they therefore had more such options to choose from.

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Statement [V] p091-02

Answering whether BTAM achieves its dual goals requires hard data on post-BTAM outcomes and...

Definitively answering questions about such outcomes and determining whether BTAM is achieving its dual goals of keeping schools safe while also using supportive intervention to change student behavior and reducing the need for suspension, expulsion, and criminal justice action requires hard data (on both student outcomes post-BTAM and what response would have looked like in the absence of a BTAM at school).

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Evidence [V] p091-03

Existing analyses usually focus narrowly on single states or single BTAM models (Cornell, Allen,...

Although some studies have conducted such analyses, the fact that data across schools and across the country are difficult to collect means existing analyses have usually focused more narrowly: either on single states or on the implementation of single BTAM models (e.g., Cornell, Allen, and Fan, 2012; Maeng, Cornell, and Huang, 2020; Cornell et al., 2025).

p. 91 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p096-02

Positive relationships could reflect differing safety perceptions of principals, students, staff

Positive relationships could also be attributable to other factors, such as differing perceptions of safety between principals and students, between principals and staff, or between stakeholder groups.

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Conjecture [V] p101-19

Unknown what informs neutral views; communities may lack knowledge or BTAM may not be pervasive

We do not know what informs these perspectives—it could be that school communities do not know enough about school BTAM programs to have an opinion either way or that the application of BTAM is not pervasive enough to make an impression.

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Fact [V] p155-08

Each principal's school belongs to multiple of the subgroup categories

It is important to keep in mind that each principal who took our survey is in a school that belongs to multiple of these categories—for example, a principal in a small, rural elementary school in a small district that serves majority White students in a relatively lower-income neighborhood in a state that does not address BTAM in state policy.

p. 155 · NCIER Claim Map
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