NCIER®

Scenario Severity Levels

135 claims on pp. 7–109 (fact 120, statement 3, conclusion 2, conjecture 4, definition 6).

Claims about Scenario Severity Levels

Fact [V] p074-07

All principals received three scenarios: one low, one high-risk, one medium level

All principals received three different scenarios: (1) one scenario capturing a low-level behavioral incident that would typically fall outside the scope of a BTAM team, (2) one scenario capturing a high-risk incident that would fall within the scope of a BTAM team, and (3) one medium-level scenario falling somewhere in between.

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p074-08

More variation expected in responses to medium-level scenarios

For the medium-level scenarios, we expected more variation in principals’ responses about whether they would refer such incidents to their school’s BTAM team and the types of interventions that might be implemented in response to the student’s behavior.

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [I] p074-19

Key behavioral elements were extracted from each scenario and summarized for ease of interpretation

For ease of interpretation, we extracted key behavioral elements captured in each scenario and summarize them in

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 74 part and the sentence continues on page 75. Full sentence (pages 74–75): “For ease of interpretation, we extracted key behavioral elements captured in each scenario and summarize them in Table 11.1.”

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Fact [V] p077-08

Teachers typically first decide on lowest-level incidents, though administrators also play this role

As shown in Figure 11.1, teachers are typically the first to make decisions in response to the lowest-level incidents—although even in these cases, the principal or another school administrator also plays this role.

p. 77 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p079-06

BTAM chosen as initial decisionmaker more often as scenarios get more serious

The likelihood that principals selected the BTAM team as the party responsible for making the initial decision about how to respond to an incident does increase as the scenarios get more serious.

p. 79 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p079-08

Scenario P: 12 percent of principals named BTAM team initial decisionmaker

Sample (n = 734 of 734) · Scenario P respondents (observations)

For Scenario P (physical altercation, explicit threat, bullying, weapon, concerning home context), however, the highest-level scenario set in a secondary school environment, 12 percent of principals identified the BTAM team as the party making the initial decision about how to respond to an incident.

p. 79 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p080-21

Middle scenarios, secondary: J, L, M mix risk factors, usually one violence-suggestive element

At the secondary level, they included Scenarios J, L, and M, depicting incidents integrating a mix of risk factors, with usually only one element suggestive of potential violence.

p. 80 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p080-23

High end: greater likelihood BTAM decides initially, across grade levels

At the high end of the spectrum are those scenarios in which there was a greater likelihood for principals to identify the BTAM team as the party making the initial decision about how to respond to an incident, across grade levels.

p. 80 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p083-18

Comparing least and most severe responses illuminates how responses change as concern rises

Comparing and contrasting how schools respond to the least and most severe incidents help illuminate how schools’ responses change as incidents become more serious and concerns about the safety of the student and school community also therefore increase.

p. 83 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p084-06

About 60 percent would warn potential victims in severe cases; under 10 percent in low-level cases

Sample (N = None) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

For example, about 60 percent of schools said they would warn potential victims in the most severe situations, but less than 10 percent focused on warning potential victims in response to low-level incidents.

p. 84 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p084-08

Only very few principals would use restrictive measures for least severe incident

Only very few principals said they would use restrictive measures—such as law enforcement action or permanent removal from school—in response to the least severe incident we presented.

p. 84 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p084-10

Findings suggest widespread agreement on responses to lowest-level and most severe incidents

Altogether, these findings suggest that there is widespread agreement over how to respond to the lowest-level and most severe incidents and that schools are delineating in their responses to low-level versus severe incidents.

p. 84 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p084-25

Footnote: low-level scenarios likely lack targets or victims of threats or violence

This could very likely be because lower-level incidents depicted in our scenarios, such as disruptive classroom behavior, do not involve targets or victims of threats or actual violence.

p. 84 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-03

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Parent consultation or home visit: Scn A 85 (overlap); Scn H 85 (overlap)

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Notification | Parent consultation or home visit | 85 [markers overlap; single label 85] | 85 [markers overlap; single label 85]

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-04

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Warning to named targets or victims of t: Scn A 6; Scn H 62

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Target/victim support | Warning to named targets or victims of threats | 6 | 62

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-05

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Warning or verbal correction of behavior: Scn A 86; Scn H 23

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Supportive discipline | Warning or verbal correction of behavior | 86 | 23

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-06

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Disciplinary measures: low-severity (Scn A) unlabeled; high-severity (Scn H) 70

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Supportive discipline | Disciplinary measures | [unlabeled] | 70

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-07

Fig 11.4 Elementary, behavioral or movement controls: low-severity (A) 17; high-severity (H) 45

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Supportive discipline | Behavioral or movement controls | 17 | 45

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-08

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Programming to build relationships with : Scn A 43; Scn H 52

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Support-focused | Programming to build relationships with trusted adults | 43 | 52

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-09

Fig 11.4 Elementary, skill-building services: low-severity (A) unlabeled; high-severity (H) 41

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Support-focused | Skill-building services | [unlabeled] | 41

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-11

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Individualized academic or vocational pr: Scn A unlabeled; Scn H 9

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Support-focused | Individualized academic or vocational programming | [unlabeled] | 9

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-13

Fig 11.4 Elementary, mental health counseling or care: low-severity (A) 33; high-severity (H) 70

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Support-focused | Mental health counseling or care | 33 | 70

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-14

Fig 11.4 Elementary, substance use treatment: low-severity (A) unlabeled; high-severity (H) 4

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Support-focused | Substance use treatment | [unlabeled] | 4

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-15

Fig 11.4 Elementary, Family support and intervention programm: Scn A 14; Scn H 46

Sample (N = 1085 | 1419 by column) · Figure 11.4 columns: low-severity observations | high-severity observations

Support-focused | Family support and intervention programming | 14 | 46

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-21

Fig 11.4 Secondary, Warning or verbal correction of behavior: Scn I 72; Scn P 19

Sample (N = 734) · Scenario I respondents (schools with a school- or district-level BTAM team), Table A.17

Supportive discipline | Warning or verbal correction of behavior | 72 | 19

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-23

Fig 11.4 Secondary, behavioral or movement controls: low-severity (I) 11; high-severity (P) 56

Sample (N = 734) · Scenario I respondents (schools with a school- or district-level BTAM team), Table A.17

Supportive discipline | Behavioral or movement controls | 11 | 56

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-24

Fig 11.4 Secondary, Programming to build relationships with : Scn I 30; Scn P 44

Sample (N = 734) · Scenario I respondents (schools with a school- or district-level BTAM team), Table A.17

Support-focused | Programming to build relationships with trusted adults | 30 | 44

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p085-26

Fig 11.4 Secondary, programming for peer relationships: low-severity (I) 16; high-severity (P) 32

Sample (N = 734) · Scenario I respondents (schools with a school- or district-level BTAM team), Table A.17

Support-focused | Programming to build peer relationships | 16 | 32

p. 85 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p086-08

Elementary median: four interventions for Scenario A, five for Scenario B

the typical (median) school reported implementing four interventions in response to Scenario A (history of misbehavior) and five interventions in response in Scenario B (history of misbehavior, physical altercation).

p. 86 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p086-09

Typical school responded to most severe Scenario H with seven interventions

At the other end of the spectrum, the typical school responded to Scenario H (history of misbehavior, physical altercation, explicit threat, history of violence, bullying, weapon), the most severe scenario, with seven interventions.

p. 86 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p089-07

Likelihood of considering exclusionary discipline tended to increase with severity, with exceptions

Principals’ likelihood of indicating they would consider exclusionary discipline tended to increase along with incident severity level, though there were exceptions.

p. 89 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p089-09

Most severe scenarios: around 70 percent would suspend; one in five to one in six permanent removal

Sample (N = 1419) · Scenario observations, high severity: actions taken or recommended (p082, p087, p090, p092)

For the most severe scenarios, around 70 percent of schools said they would likely suspend the involved student, and between one in five and one in six said they would permanently remove the student from school.

p. 89 · NCIER Claim Map
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