NCIER®

Risk Assessment

26 claims on pp. 7–92 (statement 22, evidence 1, conclusion 1, definition 2).

Claims about Risk Assessment

Definition [V] p007-10

Secret Service BTAM model: identify, gather information to assess risk, then manage risk

The U.S. Secret Service behavioral threat assessment model was developed to identify individuals displaying threatening or concerning behavior, gather information to assess whether an individual poses a risk of violence, and then manage the risk with appropriate interventions.

The U.S. Secret Service behavioral threat assessment model was developed to identify individuals displaying threatening or concerning behavior, gather information to assess if an individual poses a risk of violence, and then manage the risk by implementing appropriate interventions.

p. 7 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p027-05

Organizations can implement a BTAM program to identify, assess, and manage concerns

The report describes how organizations can successfully implement a behavioral threat assessment and management program to identify individuals of concern, gather information to assess risk, and manage concerns.

we describe how organizations can successfully implement a behavioral threat assessment and management program to identify individuals of concern

p. 27 · NCIER Claim Map
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Definition [V] p030-07

Secret Service model: identify concerning individuals, assess risk, manage with interventions

The Secret Service model is designed to identify individuals displaying threatening or concerning behavior, gather information to assess whether an individual poses a risk of violence, and then manage the risk by implementing appropriate interventions.

the Secret Service model is designed to identify individuals displaying threatening or concerning behavior, gather information to assess if an individual poses a risk of violence, and then manage the risk by implementing appropriate interventions.

p. 30 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p050-25

Contextually concerning behaviors should be assessed in full context

Contextually concerning behaviors, such as rapidly deteriorating performance or angry outbursts, should be assessed in the full context of the person and environment.

Other behaviors are contextually concerning, in that they may not prompt immediate safety concerns but should be assessed in the full context of the individual's situation and their environment

p. 50 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p054-03

A low threshold lets teams act before violence is imminent

A low threshold of concern allows BTAM teams to identify individuals eliciting safety concerns before their behavior escalates to imminent risk of harm.

Utilizing a low threshold of concern allows BTAM teams to identify individuals eliciting safety concerns before their behavior escalates to the point where there is an imminent risk of harm.

p. 54 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p059-01

Actionable reports require a comprehensive evaluation of risk

When actionable reports of concerning behavior are received, BTAM teams must conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the risk posed by the individual.

BTAM teams must conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the risk posed by the individual

p. 59 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p059-02

Risk assessment should use a fact-based process across diverse sources

BTAM teams should use a fact-based process to gather information from diverse sources, identify key details about the individual's thinking and behavior, and consider the context of the individual's situation.

BTAM teams should use a fact-based process to gather information from diverse sources

p. 59 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p059-03

The assessment phase determines whether an individual poses risk of harm

The purpose of the assessment phase in BTAM is to determine whether an individual poses a risk of harm to themselves or others.

The purpose of the assessment phase in BTAM is to determine whether an individual poses a risk of harm to themselves or others

p. 59 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [I] p059-10

Workplace assessments may draw on sources inside and outside the organization

In workplace settings, the assessment process may involve gathering information from individuals and systems inside and outside the organization and piecing together a comprehensive picture of the individual's behavior and life circumstances so an informed, reliable risk assessment can be made.

In workplace settings, this process may entail gathering information from individuals and systems both inside and outside of the organization, then piecing together a comprehensive picture of the individual's behavior and life circumstances so an informed and reliable assessment of risk can be made.

p. 59 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred Typed statement, not conjecture: the 'may'/'might'/'can' is permissive guidance (what a team may do), not speculation about what is the case.

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Statement [V] p062-10

Full assessment enables an articulable understanding of risk

Gathering this information enables the BTAM team to gain a reasonable and articulable understanding of the risk posed, identify factors specific to the individual that increase or decrease risk, and determine effective strategies to intervene and prevent a potential escalation to violence.

Gathering this information enables the BTAM team to gain a reasonable and articulable understanding of the risk posed

p. 62 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p063-03

Synthesizing many sources supports a holistic determination of risk

By using the Systems Approach, BTAM teams can identify and synthesize information from numerous sources to make a holistic determination about risk.

By utilizing the Systems Approach, BTAM teams can identify and synthesize information from numerous sources to make a holistic determination about the risk

p. 63 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [I] p066-16

Mental health professionals can consult on risk, especially in mental health crises

Community mental health professionals can assist in a consultative capacity, using their expertise to assess the risks posed by an individual or situation, particularly where individuals may be experiencing mental health crises.

These professionals can provide assistance in a consultative capacity, leveraging their professional expertise to assess the risks posed by an individual or situation, particularly in cases where individuals may be experiencing mental health crises.

p. 66 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred Typed statement, not conjecture: the 'may'/'might'/'can' is permissive guidance (what a team may do), not speculation about what is the case.

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Statement [V] p067-13

Methodical review prevents decisions based on subjective first impressions

This approach ensures decisions are not made based on subjective judgments or initial impressions, but instead on a comprehensive and methodical review of relevant information.

This approach ensures decisions are not made based on subjective judgments or initial impressions, but instead on a comprehensive and methodical review of relevant information.

p. 67 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p069-11

Assessing risk centers on behaviors commonly observed in previous attackers

Central to assessing whether an individual poses a risk of targeted violence is understanding the nature of concerning behaviors commonly observed in previous attackers.

Central to assessing whether an individual poses a risk of targeted violence is understanding the nature of concerning behaviors commonly observed in previous attackers.

p. 69 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p071-02

Identifying motive helps teams make a better-informed risk assessment

BTAM teams will be better equipped to make an informed assessment of risk if they have identified what is, or could be, motivating someone to become violent.

BTAM teams will be better equipped to make an informed assessment of risk if they have identified what is, or could be, motivating someone to become violent

p. 71 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p074-01

BTAM teams must assess whether the individual poses risk of violence

As information is gathered, the BTAM team must assess whether an individual of concern poses a risk of violence.

As information is gathered from interviews, records, and other sources, the BTAM team must assess whether an individual of concern poses a risk of violence

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p074-03

Risk determination should weigh all information from the Systems Approach

The BTAM team should make this determination by considering all information obtained using the Systems Approach and relevant Assessment Themes and situational factors.

The BTAM team should make this determination by considering all information obtained using the Systems Approach and considering relevant Assessment Themes

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p074-09

Routinely reassess changes that may raise, lower or contextualize risk

The BTAM team should routinely assess any changes or new information that may increase, decrease, or contextualize the risk of harm.

The BTAM team should routinely assess any changes or new information that may increase, decrease, or contextualize the risk of harm posed by the individual of concern

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [I] p074-16

Some teams may classify assessments as low, medium, or high risk for prioritization

Some BTAM teams might prefer to classify their assessments into levels of risk, such as low, medium, and high risk, for case prioritization and management.

Some BTAM teams might prefer to classify their assessments into levels of risk (e.g., low risk, medium risk, and high risk) for case prioritization and management.

p. 74 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred Typed statement, not conjecture: the 'may'/'might'/'can' is permissive guidance (what a team may do), not speculation about what is the case.

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Evidence [V] p084-11

Tech company assesses whether threats are a trend and indicate violent intent

After a threat is received and prior contacts are queried, the multinational technology company's BTAM team assesses whether this behavior is a trend and whether it is indicative of violent intent.

assesses whether this behavior is a trend and whether it is indicative of violent intent

p. 84 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conclusion [V] p092-03

Future tragedies are preventable if communities are equipped

The research demonstrates that future tragedies are preventable if communities are equipped with the training and resources to identify individuals of concern, assess their risk of violence, and intervene appropriately.

has demonstrated that future tragedies are preventable if communities are equipped with the training and resources necessary to identify individuals of concern, assess their risk of violence, and intervene appropriately.

p. 92 · NCIER Claim Map
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