NCIER®

Evidence claims

Every claim in the map classified as evidence, in report order.

Claims

Evidence [V] p004-08

Homeland Security Act of 2002 (P.L. 107-296, § 305; 6 U.S.C. § 185) authorizes FFRDCs

The Homeland Security Act of 2002 (Public Law 107-296, § 305, as codified at 6 U.S.C. § 185) authorizes the Secretary of Homeland Security, acting through the Under Secretary for Science and Technology, to establish one or more federally funded research and development centers (FFRDCs) to provide independent analysis of homeland security issues.

p. 4 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p006-03

BTAM helps manage safety risks and reduce reliance on suspensions or expulsions

By appropriately assessing risk of harm and providing tailored interventions, BTAM helps schools manage safety risks while supporting student well-being and reducing reliance on suspensions or expulsions, which research shows can have lasting negative effects and may not effectively reduce the risk of school violence.

p. 6 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p006-10

Prior studies were specific to one model, confined to single states, or based on small interview or

Although several studies have sought to understand the impact of threat assessment programs on various school-level outcomes, including violence prevention, to date these reports have been specific to a single threat assessment model; confined to understanding trends in single states; or based on interviews or surveys of a small number of individuals.

p. 6 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p021-10

Safe School Initiative examined 37 targeted school attacks between 1974 and 2000

The impetus for early adoption of the BTAM model dates back to the joint U.S. Secret Service and U.S. Department of Education’s Safe School Initiative, which examined 37 incidents of targeted school attacks between 1974 and 2000 following the 1999 Columbine High School shooting in Colorado (Vossekuil et al., 2004).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p021-13

2015–2016: 42 percent of a national sample of K–12 public school principals had threat assessment te

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

By the 2015–2016 school year (the earliest national estimate available), 42 percent of a national sample of K–12 public school principals reported having threat assessment teams (Diliberti et al., 2017).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p021-14

2021–2022: 65 percent of public schools reported having threat assessment teams (Burr et al., 2024)

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

By the 2021–2022 school year, 65 percent of public schools reported having such teams, in which threat assessment was defined as “a formalized process of identifying, assessing, and managing students who may pose a threat of targeted violence in schools” (Burr et al., 2024, p. 13).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p021-15

More recent federal data: 85 percent of all public schools had a team by 2024 (NCES, 2025)

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

As noted above, more recent federal data show that this rate had increased to 85 percent of all public schools by 2024 (NCES, 2025).

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p021-17

Secret Service published updated research and BTAM guidance (NTAC 2018, 2019, 2021)

During this time frame, the Secret Service continued to publish updated research on targeted school violence and guidance for the implementation of BTAM programs in K–12 schools (see, e.g., NTAC, 2018; NTAC, 2019; and NTAC, 2021), and there was increasing research into—and focus on—approaches for preventing violence in K–12 schools more broadly.

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p022-03

Prior studies are single-model, single-state, or based on small interview and survey samples

Although several studies have sought to understand the impact of threat assessment programs on various school-level outcomes, including violence prevention, these reports are (1) specific to a single threat assessment model, (2) confined to understanding trends in single states, or (3) based on interviews and surveys of small samples of individuals (see, e.g., Ross et al., 2022; Cornell et al., 2018; Crepeau-Hobson and Leech, 2022; Jackson and Viljoen, 2024).

p. 22 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p024-04

Maryland and Texas both require BTAM teams but with different emphases (Texas SSC; MCSS)

Although both Maryland and Texas require schools to have BTAM teams, Texas explicitly requires that members of teams have a range of specific types of expertise “to the greatest extent practicable” (Texas School Safety Center, undated), and Maryland emphasizes coordination with the Maryland Center for School Safety (MCSS), which provides training and other resources to K–12 schools in this area (MCSS, undated).

p. 24 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p029-01

Child Trends and NASBE (2021) divided states into three 2019 categories

The Child Trends and NASBE analysis (2021) divided states into three categories: (1) states that mandated behavioral threat assessment in K–12 schools through legislation or specific state policy in 2019; (2) states that encouraged the implementation of behavioral threat assessment in K–12 schools or addressed it via non-codified policy in 2019; and (3) states that made no mention of behavioral threat assessment in 2019.

p. 29 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p038-02

NTAC: objectively concerning behaviors include threats, violence, weapons, bullying (2018, p. 4)

NTAC guidance for defining the types of behaviors that might be referred to a BTAM team includes objectively concerning behaviors, such as “threatening or engaging in violence, bringing a weapon to school, bullying or harassing others, and criminal behaviors” (NTAC, 2018, p. 4).

p. 38 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p038-03

NTAC: other concerning behavior may warrant BTAM team assessment and response

NTAC guidance also identifies a constellation of “other concerning behavior” that may warrant an assessment and response by the BTAM team, including a variety of indicators of stress, inappropriate interest in violent topics (e.g., past school attackers, weapons), interpersonal conflicts, suicidality, or other concerns that might lead to a potential harmful outcome if not addressed.

p. 38 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p041-13

Most named BTAM frameworks and some state laws specify minimum team sizes and required disciplines

Most named BTAM frameworks and even some laws or regulations in states requiring or supporting BTAM implementation specify minimum team sizes and specific disciplines that must or should be represented (see, e.g., NTAC, 2018; National Center on Safe Supportive Learning Environments, undated).

p. 41 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p041-14

Models most commonly recommend administration, mental health services and public safety members

Most commonly, BTAM models or implementation guidance recommend including individuals from school administration (e.g., a principal or assistant principal), mental health services (e.g., a counselor or school psychologist), and public safety (e.g., a school resource officer [SRO] or another individual with security expertise).

p. 41 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p043-19

Note: 2021–2022 federal data show high-poverty schools more likely to have mental health assessment

Federal government data from the 2021–2022 school year paint a somewhat different picture, showing that high-poverty schools were actually more likely than low-poverty schools to have both diagnostic mental health assessment services and mental health treatment services (NCES, 2024).

p. 43 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p045-23

Rationale: officers can help keep school safe or provide knowledge such as a prior criminal record

The rationale is that law enforcement officers can assist with decisions about keeping a school safe and secure in the event of a threat or provide access to knowledge that other school-focused professionals do not have (e.g., if a student has a prior criminal record).

p. 45 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p046-08

Police involvement in BTAM controversial over concern it increases students' justice system involvem

Police involvement in BTAM has been controversial for some individuals and civil society groups, driven by concern that their involvement will increase the chance that students will end up in the justice system—i.e., that the outcome of threat assessment and management will increase the likelihood of arrest and prosecution for student behavior at school.

p. 46 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p047-15

NABITA specifies BTAM team training should target a broad variety of competencies

The National Association of Behavior Intervention and Threat Assessment (NABITA), for example, specifies that training for BTAM teams should target a broad variety of competencies (e.g., risk and threat assessment), mental health and cultural awareness, bias mitigation, effective team communication, intervention strategies, and community engagement (NABITA, 2024).

p. 47 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p052-04

Several states developed their own K-12 BTAM guidelines (FL, SC, TX, VA, WI)

Several states have developed their own guidelines for BTAM at K–12 schools (e.g., Florida Department of Education, 2025; State of South Carolina, 2023; Texas School Safety Center, undated; Virginia Department of Criminal Justice Services, 2023; Wisconsin Department of Justice Office of School Safety, 2025).

p. 52 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p062-02

BTAM models emphasize individualized responses and recommend varied intervention options

BTAM models emphasize individualized responses and recommend a variety of intervention options, such as academic or social/emotional supportive services, monitoring, counseling, and safety planning tailored to the assessed needs of the individual and the situation at hand (see, e.g., Jackson et al., 2025).

p. 62 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p066-02

BTAM is framed as an alternative to exclusionary discipline, which risks long-term harms

BTAM in K–12 schools is framed as an alternative to exclusionary school discipline, which has been recognized as risking long-term harms to students and causing other damage to a school’s community (Huang and Cornell, 2021; Cornell et al., 2018; Center on Positive Behavioral Interventions & Supports, 2023).

p. 66 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p068-05

2023–2024 federal data: 84 percent of public schools provided mental health interventions; 63 percen

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

Federal government data for the 2023–2024 school year show that 84 percent of public schools provided mental health interventions for students, and 63 percent of schools used district or school funding to support these mental health services.

p. 68 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p068-06

Only 9 percent of schools strongly agree they can effectively provide mental health services for all

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

However, only 9 percent of schools “strongly agree” that they are able to effectively provide these services for all students in need (NCES, 2025).

p. 68 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p089-03

BTAM possibly increasing exclusionary discipline or criminal justice approaches has concerned...

the possibility that BTAM could increase the use of either exclusionary discipline or criminal justice approaches in responding to student behavior has been a concern for civil society groups and a focus of policy debate around BTAM as a school safety practice.

p. 89 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p089-12

Previous studies: many schools use short-term suspensions while BTAM team completes assessment...

this is somewhat in line with findings from previous studies of behavioral threat management in schools, which suggest that many schools implement short-term suspensions as an immediate response to some student behavior to give their BTAM team time to complete a behavioral threat assessment and decide on appropriate longer-term interventions, including support-focused interventions (Jackson et al., 2025).

p. 89 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p089-15

Other studies: 12 percent of K–12 principals nationally believe suspensions and expulsions let...

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

Although other studies show that most K–12 principals do not believe that exclusionary discipline measures teach students valuable lessons and help avoid future behavior incidents, 12 percent nationally still do believe that suspensions and expulsions give students the opportunity to learn from their behavior (Perera and Diliberti, 2023).

p. 89 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p091-03

Existing analyses usually focus narrowly on single states or single BTAM models (Cornell, Allen,...

Although some studies have conducted such analyses, the fact that data across schools and across the country are difficult to collect means existing analyses have usually focused more narrowly: either on single states or on the implementation of single BTAM models (e.g., Cornell, Allen, and Fan, 2012; Maeng, Cornell, and Huang, 2020; Cornell et al., 2025).

p. 91 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p091-21

Footnote on temporary suspension: many schools use temporary suspension as immediate response...

many schools employ temporary suspension as an immediate response to an incident to ensure the safety of the individual student and broader school community, while a BTAM team conducts its threat assessment and determines the best path forward (Jackson et al., 2025).

p. 91 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p094-13

Widespread BTAM adoption has raised concerns about impact on safety, crime, discipline fairness, cli

The widespread adoption of BTAM at schools across the United States has raised concerns about its impact and perceived impact on a variety of school-specific outcomes, such as safety, crime, fairness of school discipline across all students, and school climate more broadly (see, e.g., Cornell et al., 2025; Cornell, 2020; Nekvasil and Cornell, 2015).

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p098-01

Concern that BTAM may affect exclusionary discipline use and fairness (Cornell et al., 2025)

As noted above, one concern around the use of BTAM at schools across the country is the potential for its impact on schools’ use of exclusionary discipline practices overall and whether exclusionary discipline is used fairly across the student population (for a review, see Cornell et al., 2025).

p. 98 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p100-03

Studies identify risks to program sustainment: resource constraints, drift, staff turnover

Studies of program implementation in many areas have identified many risks to program sustainment, including resource constraints that force the closure of good programs; “drifting” away from careful program delivery so that over time a program morphs into something different than originally intended; and staff turnover or changes in leadership that remove the program’s “champion,” meaning no one is there to ensure continued quality and performance (see Lane et al., 2019, for a review).

p. 100 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p101-22

Prior studies: dynamic, supportive school leader often important for BTAM effectiveness (Jackson et

The question was informed by other studies on program sustainability and on BTAM program implementation specifically that drew on the expertise of school safety staff across the country who indicated that a dynamic and supportive school leader was often important for school BTAM program effectiveness (see, e.g., Jackson et al., 2025).

p. 101 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p103-01

Since the 2019 study, some states, including Georgia and Michigan, enacted laws covering school BTAM

since the 2019 study that provides the basis for the grouping of the states, some of those states—including Georgia and Michigan—have gone from strong encouragement of BTAM through policy or regulation to enacting laws covering school BTAM adoption) (Child Trends and the NASBE, 2021).

p. 103 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p159-02

Jackson, Brian A., Pauline Moore, Jennifer T. Leschitz, Benjamin Boudreaux, Jo Caulkins, and Shoshan

Jackson, Brian A., Pauline Moore, Jennifer T. Leschitz, Benjamin Boudreaux, Jo Caulkins, and Shoshana R. Shelton, Strengthening School Violence Prevention: Expanding Intervention Options and Supporting K–12 School Efforts in Behavioral Threat Assessment and Management, Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center operated by the RAND Corporation, RR-A2966-1, 2025. As of August 10, 2025:

p. 159 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p159-12

Moore, Pauline, Brian A. Jackson, Jennifer T. Leschitz, Nazia Wolters, Thomas Goode, Melissa Kay Dil

Moore, Pauline, Brian A. Jackson, Jennifer T. Leschitz, Nazia Wolters, Thomas Goode, Melissa Kay Diliberti, and Phoebe Felicia Pham, Developing Practical Responses to Social Media Threats Against K–12 Schools: An Overview of Trends, Challenges, and Current Approaches, Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center operated by the RAND Corporation, RR-A1077-5, 2024. As of August 10, 2025:

p. 159 · NCIER Claim Map
Evidence [V] p159-15

National Center for Education Statistics, “More Than 80 Percent of U.S. Public Schools Report Pandem

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

National Center for Education Statistics, “More Than 80 Percent of U.S. Public Schools Report Pandemic Has Negatively Impacted Student Behavior and Socio-Emotional Development,”

p. 159 · NCIER Claim Map

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